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The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Then the probability of Mr. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Is that an African fly or a European one? If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Your email address will not be published. So what's the probability of your being born? on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Which one's bigger? Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. But Im not mathy. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Step 4. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Those who are brave (foolish?) The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Even if they couldn't read them yet. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. So what's the probability of your being born? On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. The odds of being born - Lottoland The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Whoa. A lovely day to you. Dr. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Based on the data from the CDC . Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. So far, so good. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. This includes personalizing content and advertising. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Now things start getting interesting. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Thank you, Monsignor. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Please pass this post along. dr ali binazir odds of being born Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. How Old Is Txunamy From Familia Diamond 2021,
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